Oslo Sports Trauma Research Center

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Information about project titled 'Assessing the cumulative effect of long-term training load on the risk of sports injury'

Assessing the cumulative effect of long-term training load on the risk of sports injury

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Project status: Ongoing
Project manager: Lena Kristin Bache-Mathiesen
Supervisor(s): Morten Wang Fagerland, Thor Einar Andersen
Coworker(s): Ben Clarsen, Torstein Dalen-Lorentsen

Description

Background: In the last decades,researchers have worked to identify risk factors for sports injuries. One such potential risk factor is training load. Modelling training load has proven challenging, however, because of its multi-dimensional nature, and likely complex relationship with injury risk. Training load is also a time-varying exposure. It is thought to have different effects depending on distance in time from the current day, and the effects have been hypothesized to be non-linear. Not only the amount of training load, but the change in training load, is considered to affect injury risk. While some methods have been recommended to handle challenges in training load and injury risk in isolation, it is unclear how to deal with these issues in symphony.

Aim: The aim is to determine how to model the cumulative effect of training load when assessing its effect on the risk of sports injury and health problems.

Methods: Based on observed training load values, we will simulate relationships between training load and injury risk with varying degrees of complexity. Modelling methods will be compared in their ability to uncover the cumulative effect of training load on the probability of injury in these experimental relationships.